December 2009

Merry Christmas Everyone!

Posted 12/25/09 at 12:36am by jamie

I hope everyone has a great day filled with love and joy while celebrating with their family and friends. I even extend this to those on the right, with whom we spend the rest of the year butting heads.

And a very special Merry Christmas to Eric Erickson of Red State, who has apparently really lost religion since he has decided to spend the holiest night of the year on Twitter questioning the spirituality of the left.

And also Andrew Breitbart, who apparently has nothing better to do on Christmas Eve than talk about perverted sexual activities.

Enjoy the day because starting tomorrow we start the fight to fix the FPL, which will translate into even better health care reform.

Ohio Could Lose 2 Congressional Seats In 2010

Posted 12/24/09 at 4:44pm by jamie

The buckeye state isn’t growing that fast:

Ohio could lose two seats in Congress as a result of waning population growth according to Census numbers.

The figures, which were released on Wednesday, show that the Buckeye State's population grew by only 14,573 people over the past decade, or one-tenth of one percent.

Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland (D) has warned Ohio could lose two of its congressional seats next year when the 2010 Census is completed, according to the Associated press.

The state currently has 18 congressional seats.

(h/t GottaLaff)

Please let restructuring do some real good to Ohio-08. It would be so nice to finally get rid of Boehner.

How Would Health Care Work Today With The FPL

Posted 12/24/09 at 3:45pm by jamie

I figured I would plug in some real world numbers as they would be today if the new health care legislation was fully intact. This is something I haven’t seen during the whole debate and I want to take it from the angle of a single person earning 150% of the FPL.

Currently the FPL for a single person is $10,830. 150% of that would be $16,254 per year. Going by the table I published earlier, which is taken directly from the CBO estimates, a person earning a 150% of the FPL would end up paying about 9% of their income in health care when the new legislation comes into play. To refresh, here is the chart with the lines I am using highlighted:

fplhcr

Since every line goes off the “middle of income range”, I decided the 7% would be at 125% and 12% would be at 175%. I added those together and came up with 19% then divided by two, which gave me 9.5%. For simplicity I went ahead and rounded down.

So you are earning $16,254 a year, but 9% of your income is now going to health care. Time for another calculation:

$16,254
X .091
--------------
$14,791 (rounded down)

Could The FPL Fix For Health Care Become A Reality

Posted 12/24/09 at 2:27pm by jamie

For those just catching up, the idea I have come up with to fix health care is not by adding in the public option or instituting Medicare for 55+. Instead I have taken a much different approach, one that would be much easier to make a reality. What we should focus on is the FPL, the Federal Poverty Level that is the main indicator for how much help you will get through federal subsidies and determining eligibility for Medicaid.

Currently the FPL is based nationally, with exceptions made for Alaska and Hawaii. At first glance this might seem logical, but in reality different parts of America fact very different economic states. Someone in South Carolina living at 150% of the FPL can actually have a rather decent life. Take that same person and move them to New York City at the same wages and you will have a much different outcome – someone who may very well end up homeless.

This system has been serving America for decades and it is time to update it. Something I had missed in the past is that this could be happening under the Obama administration. This is an article from September 2009, with a big hat tip to Jon Perr:

Two academics who are vocal critics of the federal government’s antiquated system for measuring poverty have landed important jobs in the Obama Administration, though it’s unclear whether they can overcome the political inertia that has left the current system largely undisturbed for more than four decades.

The Suicidal Blogosphere

Posted 12/24/09 at 11:03am by jamie

So much contention over the past several days has occurred within the progressive blogosphere. It’s time to do another post calling it out.

First on the agenda is the issue of President Obama saying that he never campaigned on the public option. This was a false claim, no matter how some want to spin it. It may have just been a “gaffe”, but it is something he needs called on none the less.

A lot of us are rightfully pissed over this comment, but being pissed doesn’t mean we don’t want President Obama removed from office, as some in the progressive blogosphere are claiming. To say that holding President Obama accountable to his promises is somehow calling for his impeachment is highly dishonest, and I am putting that very nicely.

The very fact that I supported President Obama means I will fight to hold him to a higher standard than someone like Bush. I have spent the last 8 years watching George Bush go against every thing conservative, yet conservatives backed him to the end. Once that end came they turned to flat out insulting him. It’s because of that damn Reagan “11th commandment” that goes “Thou shalt not speak ill of any fellow Republican”. That is a horrible mantle to hold in a democracy. Our country was built upon questioning our leaders and holding them accountable, and I sure as hell don’t want to see my party start following that highly flawed logic. If we do then we are no better than the other side.

Senate Bill Passes 60-39

Posted 12/24/09 at 8:59am by jamie

Right along party lines as expected, with Jim Bunning not voting. What’s interesting is that since the GOP started praying for Democratic members of the Senate to not show up, a Republican has missed every vote. Irony or sweet revenge?

This ends the 2009 legislative year and now we are on to reconciliation to fix the health care bill. I actually have a little bit of hope of some good coming out of there, given statements some House members are starting to make. This bill is far from perfect, but we now have a real chance to make it better. It’s a much more real chance than the “fix it later” mentality. We won’t get things like a public option out of conference, but if a few things could happen like dropping/greatly reducing the mandate for lower income people, then it’s a bill I could stomach. I’ve said all along that the mandates was the deal breaker for me because of the adverse affect they actually will have on lower income people, namely those who make just enough to not get Medicaid.

I will admit that the bill does a lot to reduce costs for families, but most are focusing on the more median income families. In our uncertain economic times with a very weak job market, forcing people below 175% of the federal poverty level to buy insurance is adding to an already disastrous situation. It also shows the disconnect between Washington and the lower income people. They don’t know what it’s like to live paycheck to paycheck. They are operating on the assumption that people in this situation don’t get insurance out of greed. For most it is out of a very, very tough decision on what expenses can be cut in order to survive. Health insurance means nothing if you are homeless or can’t afford to eat, and the extra $1,100-$5,000 a year these people will now be forced to pay is going to be felt hard.

To keep it in context, here is the chart from the CBO that many have been using to calculate health care costs under the new legislation:

Quote Of The Day

Posted 12/23/09 at 7:03pm by jamie

"We are tired of watching as year after year candidates offer up detailed health care plans with great fanfare and promise only to see them crushed under the weight of Washington politics and drug and insurance lobbying once the campaign is over." Candidate Obama

Here is the video of candidate Obama saying this, with big thanks to Lee Stranahan for finding it

I may have voted for the man and even supported him during the campaign, but his actions throughout this health care debate have been inexcusable and I never pledged undying allegiance to the man. As matter of fact since I did support candidate Obama I have worked harder to hold him to a higher standard than someone people I never did support. To me that is what it means to be a Democrat, a liberal and an American. As I said the other day, some of the Obama supporters out there are starting to remind me of the right wingers who supported Bush at every twist and turn as he broke his campaign promises, only to turn around and blast him the day he left office.

2009 – A Record Breaking Box Office?

Posted 12/23/09 at 5:18pm by jamie

With the recession, it’s no secret more and more people are flocking to the movie theaters for their entertainment. It looks like that trend could translate into a record year for Hollywood:

Movie studios began the year with January crossing the $1 billion mark for the first time ever, and box offices this month are counting on help from highly anticipated films such as "Avatar," "Sherlock Holmes" and "It's Complicated."

So far, moviegoers had snapped up $9.67 billion worth of tickets at domestic -- U.S. and Canadian -- box offices through Tuesday, said tracking firm Hollywood.com Box Office.

The firm said 2007's record was expected to be surpassed on Wednesday, as Hollywood reaps returns during a recession that, as in past downturns, has seen consumers showing up in theaters for relatively cheap entertainment.

I will be contributing my part in a few minutes when I head out to see Avatar.

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