the gop

Could Boehner Be Done As Speaker?

Posted 12/29/11 at 10:38am by jamie

TPM has gathered a list of Republican members of Congress raising the possibility that John Boehner could see his short time as Speaker of the House come to an end in 2012:

“He’s (Boehner) got a big problem when he comes back,” one anonymous congressman claimed. “He may have a hard time keeping his Speakership after this.”

“We were hung out to dry by our leadership,” said another unnamed member.

My guess is that these unnamed members are most likely Tea Party members of Congress that really don't understand politics all that much. I don't really see Boehner losing his position as Speaker, mainly because this is a big election year and that would make the GOP look really bad.

On the other hand, if Boehner doesn't do some serious healing or explaining in the next couple of weeks, it could become a possibility. The GOP wants to look united going into an election and the payroll tax fight showed they weren't. What's even worst is that with Congress' approval in the 9% range and people viewing that branch as being completely broken having a totally Republican controlled Congress could lead to even more roadblock with the two chambers unable to agree.

My guess is that Boehner will hold onto his position, but only after being taken to the woodshed by his caucus. The Tea Party members will remind him that they are the reason the GOP got a majority in 2010 and the reason he is Speaker, so play nice or they will make life hell on him.

Whichever way it ends up going, one thing is for sure - it's going to be fun as hell to watch. Republicans have loved in the past pointing to a Democratic party divided, mainly over the 2008 primary and the healthcare battle. None of those begin to compare to what we are seeing in the GOP right now.

Trump Makes A Move

Posted 12/23/11 at 3:16pm by jamie

One big question hanging over the GOP field right now is the question of Donald Trump. He hasn't ruled out a third party run and today he made a move to suggest he just might do that - switching his registration from Republican to Independent. He also isn't hiding the reasons:

Trump special counsel Michael Cohen said the developer and reality TV star made the move "in order to preserve his right to run as an independent if he is (not pleased) with the GOP nominee."

My guess right now is if Gingrich or Santorum win the nomination then Trump will sit this one out. If it's not either of them, then get ready for Trump to jump in.If that happens the GOP will experience one hell of a Nader effect.

Ron Paul Has A Race Problem

Posted 12/22/11 at 8:50am by jamie

News was made yesterday when Ron Paul walked out of an interview with CNN's Gloria Borger when asked about some racist newsletters sent in his name in the 80's and 90's. Here's video of that moment:

But was CNN out of bounds here, or is Ron Paul trying not to hold up to his history? Well it turns out that in 1995 Ron Paul gave a C-Span interview where he took full responsibility of the newsletters

Ron Paul has a serious racist past and he's trying to run from it now. Luckily we have the way back machine of the internets to expose the truth about him.

This also shows why the GOP is in an extreme frenzy trying to discredit Paul. He's looking like he'll win Iowa and that puts the GOP in a really bad position, especially in a time when there has been a lot of racism charges against the party.

The circus is just getting started, so grab some popcorn because this show is going to be one for the history books!

The Headless Party

Posted 12/21/11 at 12:00pm by jamie

Something that really deserves more attention is the lack of any powerhouses within the GOP. We saw this in 2008, when Republicans had to suck it up and vote for John McCain. We are seeing it again now with the right trying to figure out which Republican candidate is the lesser of two evils.

Are the people supporting Mitt really supporting him or are they more so going against Newt?

Is Newt's support coming from people who actually believe in Newt, or is coming from people voting against Mitt Romney?

How about Ron Paul? His sudden surge has left a lot of pundits scratching their heads. A man who wants to legalize drugs and prostitution, something so far from the social conservative base that it might as well be in Amsterdam, has become a serious contender in the GOP race.

What's fueling that sudden Ron Paul surge? Is it people supporting Ron Paul or is it people so fed up with the other choices that they have no other option?

In all these questions both options can ring true, but looking at polling data and reading commentary you quickly realize that it's not really support driving these candidates, but rather a lack of any real choice.

One of the problems facing today's GOP is that they have gone so far to the right that they have actually forgotten who they are or in what country they are living. They believe that America is a far right country, when in fact it is moderate, if not more on the left. I come to that conclusion from recently spending a few hours digging through tons of polls on social issues. When you look at things like gay marriage, taxing the rich, a woman's right to choose, the death penalty, social programs, gun control and about any other issue you can think of, America takes a more leftist view.

Democrats Are Winning The Payroll Tax Cut Fight

Posted 12/21/11 at 10:47am by jamie

Republicans are getting nervous, and I mean really nervous. They have painted themselves into a corner by opposing the payroll tax cut and are now even fracturing.

The nervousness can be seen by what today's Wall Street Journal editorial board is saying:

The GOP leaders have somehow managed the remarkable feat of being blamed for opposing a one-year extension of a tax holiday that they are surely going to pass. This is no easy double play.

Republicans have also achieved the small miracle of letting Mr. Obama position himself as an election-year tax cutter, although he's spent most of his Presidency promoting tax increases and he would hit the economy with one of the largest tax increases ever in 2013. This should be impossible.

The GOP has a deep seeded hatred of President Obama. I know this sounds harsh, but their actions alone prove it. The Republicans in Congress have constantly opposed anything that President Obama wants with the simple justification that President Obama wants it.

This here is a perfect example of that. The GOP has long been the party of "lower taxes", yet right before Christmas they are viewed as the tax raisers. They have sacrificed a pillar of their parties core beliefs simply to oppose anything President Obama wants and now this sacrifice may have cost them a lot of seats in next year's election.

Just this week alone a lot of polls have come out showing President Obama's approval rating on the rise. In most of them he is only within a point or two of 50% again and for the first time in months more approve than disapprove of the way he is doing his job.

The GOP Can't Produce One Business That Wouldn't Hire Over The Surtax

Posted 12/9/11 at 9:00am by jamie

Yesterday the Republicans again filibustered the payroll tax cut extension. They continued their argument that paying for it with a surtax on millionaires would hurt hiring. NPR decided to look further into that claim and here's what they found:

We wanted to talk to business owners who would be affected. So, NPR requested help from numerous Republican congressional offices, including House and Senate leadership. They were unable to produce a single millionaire job creator for us to interview.

So we went to the business groups that have been lobbying against the surtax. Again, three days after putting in a request, none of them was able to find someone for us to talk to. A group called the Tax Relief Coalition said the problem was finding someone willing to talk about their personal taxes on national radio.

So next we put a query on Facebook. And several business owners who said they would be affected by the "millionaires surtax" responded.

"It's not in the top 20 things that we think about when we're making a business hire," said Ian Yankwitt, who owns Tortoise Investment Management.

And of course it doesn't affect hiring. What does affect hiring is DEMAND. But I'm not going to go into that rampage again. Instead I'm going to go into another one - trickle down.

What the GOP's position is is nothing more than an embrace of the old Reaganomics trickle-down theory. That theory was debunked in the 80's and early 90's. As matter of fact it was debunked so bad that the GOP even stopped using the phrases "trickle-down" and "Reaganomics" to describe it, but the idea hasn't died. This highly failed policy has become the bedrock of GOP economic philosophies.

What Does 2012 Have In Store For The GOP?

Posted 10/26/11 at 12:52pm by jamie

Reading more into the CBS/New York Times poll I posted earlier, it looks like the GOP has some rough road ahead when they try to retake the White House, even with President Obama’s low approval rating. As with most other polls, this one also finds Herman Cain as the front runner:

Herman Cain 25%
Mitt Romney 21%
Newt Gingrich 10%
Rick Perry 6%

We still see a hot race for the front runner, but Cain is sitting pretty right now. One amazing take-a-way is how much Rick Perry has plummeted. The media really got it wrong on this one.

There are a couple of numbers I left out of that table which do show a problem. Right now 12% want someone else and 11% are undecided. So that gives us 23% who aren’t sold on the choices they have and that spells an enthusiasm problem for the field. Another interesting tidbit is that even with all the debates we have had, 80% of the people who had chosen a candidate still think it’s too early to say if they are 100% sold on their pick. The GOP field isn’t selling themselves at all and that is a big problem and actually this number has increased since last month and with a couple more debates under the belt.

But what about the issues? Well this poll dives into those somewhat. First off is how American’s are prioritizing the country’s problems:

Matt Drudge’s Ultimate Spin

Posted 10/21/11 at 10:26am by jamie

Appearing on Drudge’s site today:

What a way to make it sound like Democrats are against the Obama jobs bill. But facts mean nothing to the merchant of lies and spin. Here’s the real facts from the article Drudge linked:

The 50-50 vote fell 10 short of the 60 votes needed to advance the bill, and saw two Democrats and one independent join with all 47 Republicans in sustaining a bipartisan filibuster.

Even if the two Democrats and one independent voted for it, the vote would have still failed. It’s the fact that since day one of President Obama taking office the Senate Republicans have done nothing but filibuster to the point they have shattered the record of filibusters ever in the Senate. This bill proves that the GOP is the party of no, with a large majority of people supporting the bill.

So how do real news organizations headline this story? Well let’s start with the New York Times:

Obama’s Jobs Plan Is Blocked Again by Senate Republicans

And how about Reuters?

Americans Want A New Government

Posted 9/26/11 at 9:03am by jamie

If you ask Democrats the Republicans controlling the House are the problem. If you ask Republicans the problem lies in Senate and and the White House. None of that should really matter though. The problem is that our government is broken and Americans are fed up with it according to a new Gallup poll that shows a record 82%

This poll could also show that the Republican plan is working. 69% now say they have little or no confidence in the legislative branch. while 57% say they have little or no faith in the government to solve domestic problems. Those statistics fit right into the "small/no government" beliefs of the GOP, but it get's even worse with 49% now believing that the government poses an immediate threat to the rights and freedoms of citizens. Now while I said this was the affect of the GOP plan, I don't mean it's good news for the GOP.

The Republican Dislike For Our Soldiers

Posted 9/23/11 at 9:59am by jamie

At last night’s Republican debate Stephen Hill, a soldier currently serving in Iraq, asked the GOP field what they would do about the US policy for gays in the military, like Hill. Instantly the crowd went to booing this brave soldier. Rick Santorum instantly answered the question by saying he would reinstate DADT.

It’s really amazing when you think about it. Here we got a man, risking his life for a country that wants to exclude him from serving. Then we have a Republican presidential candidate that never once had the courage to out on the uniform and serve saying he shouldn’t be allowed to. I’m also sure many of those booing in the audience never had the courage to serve either. It is really sickening to see how the GOP tries to use soldiers as their political backdrops, but then wants to disqualify so many from serving over something our military leaders says isn’t a problem.

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