republican primary

The Republican Media Problem

Posted 1/17/12 at 4:26pm by jamie

This election cycle has really exposed a problem the GOP has with dealing with the media. We started seeing it with Herman Cain, who is the only one to blame for his own campaign's demise with his handling of the questions of inappropriate conduce while head of the National Restaurant Association. Instead of coming clean, he chose to make the matter worst by giving snippy comebacks and dodging the actual questions. And while the Cainiacs out there tried to play the "blame the liberal media" game, the actual blame could only be placed upon Herman himself. It was his campaign that turned what would have been a week long story into a month long circus. Sure some blame his campaign, but it is HIS campaign and the buck stops with him.

So having seen such an implosion play out on the public stage, you think that other GOP candidates would learn a lesson. For Mitt Romney that isn't the case.

Today we finally learned that he pays about 15% in income tax. That comes out after more than a month of reporting on his denying the release of his income tax returns. That added more than a month of the media asking questions and pushing the issue. Instead of just saying "yeah I'll show them when/if I'm the nominee", Mitt has drawn out the media scrutiny much like Herman Cain.

Then we have Newt Gingrich prepared to make a very good and calculated campaign move. Tomorrow Newt is set to release his income tax returns. While that isn't enough to push Newt into the nomination, it will provide even more fire for Mitt and more ammo for the not-Mitt crowd.

The problem with the GOP is that they can't look at their own downfalls. They define delusions of grandeur, viewing themselves as infallible while blaming everyone else, the "liberal media" in this case.

Romney's Win

Posted 1/11/12 at 10:24am by jamie

Mitt Romney's win in New Hampshire last night was a given the pundit world has talked about for months. Interesting enough though many are calling this the end game and now saying Romney is the nominee. I wouldn't count on that quiet yet.

Romney has constantly polled best in New Hampshire of all 50 states. Going into last night's primary his RCP average was at 16.6%, which is eerily close to the margin between him and second place Ron Paul. But Romney's numbers have been dropping in New Hampshire over the past several weeks. It was only in November Romney was seeing numbers giving him a 30+ point lead, so his support has about dropped in half.

Then we have the big factor in the horse race - the delegate count. Last night's contest only accounted for 12 delegates (New Hampshire's delegates was cut in half do to a RNC penalty). New Hampshire is also one of the few states in the GOP primary that isn't "winner take all" in the delegate race. Including last night's race, Mitt Romney now has 23 delegates. Ron Paul comes in second with 10 and Rick Santorum is third with 8. But we still have a long ways to go. 1,144 delegates are needed to win the GOP nomination and we start seeing some bigger states coming up in the next couple of weeks. If those races do go to Romney then I think we can safely say he has it, short of some major fubar on the campaign trail (not that unlikely given it is Mitt).

Gingrich/Cain 2012?

Posted 11/17/11 at 9:40am by jamie

Santa, here's what I want!!!!!!

Newt Gingrich said a Gingrich-Hermain Cain ticket would be "a real possibility" if he won the Republican presidential nomination.

Speaking in an interview with Newsmax magazine, in response to the prospect of a Gingrich-Cain ticket or Cain-Gingrich ticket, Gingrich said that was "a real possibility."

Let's see, that would be a thrice married, serial adulterer and a serial sexual harasser on the "family values" ticket. YES PLEASE!

(And I apologize to my comedy writer friends out there. I know this puts your job in jeopardy since the jokes will write themselves with this ticket!)

Senile Old Man – Episode 1001

Posted 4/5/10 at 2:06pm by jamie

Today we have another episode in the dementia that is John McCain. Remember the maverick? Well then you must be thinking of the wrong person, because John McCain says he never called himself a maverick.

For more than a decade, famed 'Straight Talk Express' rider John McCain has had 'maverick' as his and his supporters' moniker of choice. And friends and foes alike have followed suit to such a degree that it can almost sound like an official title ('maverick Sen. John McCain'). But running in a surprisingly contested Republican primary against a former member of Congress who says McCain is too moderate may be taking its toll.

Sen. McCain (R-AZ) now tells Newsweek that he was never a maverick.

"I never considered myself a maverick," McCain said. "I consider myself a person who serves the people of Arizona to the best of his abilities."

Does McCain really think such a flip-flop will win votes? Is he really that much of a dumb ass? If anything this ploy will cost him more votes. Of course that would be a good thing. We need to rid the Senate of the moron from Arizona.

BREAKING: McCain Relationship With Female Lobbyist Revealed

Posted 2/20/08 at 8:00pm by jamie

Oh my it looks like their big hope has some skeletons going on. The New York Times has the full story here.

UPDATE

The dirty stuff is on page 4:

In interviews, the two former associates said they joined in a series of confrontations with Mr. McCain, warning him that he was risking his campaign and career. Both said Mr. McCain acknowledged behaving inappropriately and pledged to keep his distance from Ms. Iseman. The two associates, who said they had become disillusioned with the senator, spoke independently of each other and provided details that were corroborated by others.

(emphasis added)

UPDATE #2

Well image that. Vicki Iseman (the woman in question) lobbies for the telecom industry. Funny considering McCain just voted against telecom immunity.

UPDATE #3:

Pat Buchanan on Olbderman was just trying to play this down as some New York Times hit piece. That is rather interesting considering the NYT's endorsed McCain for the Republican primary. If they wanted to hurt him in the general, then wouldn't they have sat on it for a few months?

(More updates below the fold)

Wingnut Moron Of The Week

Posted 1/27/08 at 9:20am by jamie

This award has to go to Erick at Red State for this tidbit :

In South Carolina tonight, Democratic voters would rather vote for the rich, Southern, white man than either the black man or the female yankee.

Excuse me? Obama won 55% of the vote. It sounds to me like Erick is trying to say that African American's can't be part of the Democratic Party, but that's not as disturbing as the logic he is using:

In fact, exit polling by and large shows that John Edwards, by staying in the race, is taking votes that would otherwise typically go to Barack Obama. Is this a racist ploy? Is John Edwards in league with the Clintons to make sure white voters, who don't want to vote for Clinton, have a white alternative to go to, lest Barack Obama get more traction?

Did we forget Iowa, a state that is predominately white and voted for Obama? Actually Erick's argument here has strong hints of racism. Perhaps he is saying that the "white folk" should drop out because of the black man in the race.

South Carolina Democratic Primary Results

Posted 1/26/08 at 6:40pm by jamie

[election 10]

The results will automatically update in your browser as new results come in. This is something I am testing out, so please let me know how it works.

UPDATE 7:00:
With 0% reporting MSNBC is now declaring Obama the winner.

7:02:
CNN is also calling it for Obama (the results in the tracker come from CNN which is why the green projected winner arrow is now next to Obama's name).

7:06:
AP and Fox calling it for Obama - still 0% reporting.

7:08:
CBS calls it for Obama

7:10:
Washington Post calling it for Obama

7:20
ABC Calling it for Obama.

Obama is scheduled to give victory speech at 9:00pm EST.

7:40:
MSNBC projects Clinton to come in second.

7:45
CNN projects Clinton will come in second.

UPDATE 8:40:

Just playing with some numbers here. In the Republican primary there were 442,918 votes cast. With 67% of the precincts reporting the Democrats have already had 338,195 votes recorded. This shows that today's turnout will best last weeks turnout. Considering SC is a pretty red state that is bad news for the GOP.

Huckabee Considers Pulling Out Of Florida

Posted 1/22/08 at 7:44am by jamie

Things aren't looking good for Huckaboner:

Battling to stay competitive after his weekend loss in South Carolina, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee is taking new steps to save money, including no longer scheduling planes and buses for journalists trying to cover his presidential campaign.

Huckabee said he will continue to campaign in Florida on a shoestring budget, but added that he may pull out of the state before its Jan. 29 Republican primary if his prospects look dim.

South Carolina was Huckabee's last real chance to become the front runner. Now that that's over, he doesn't have any real chance to take the lead. His only hope is to keep enough money to make it to the convention.

Why is McCain Even Running?

Posted 1/6/07 at 3:54pm by jamie

Iraq was the key issue in the mid-term elections. Republicans and Democrats actually agree on that assessment. Now we are seeing a growing number of Republicans speaking out against the administration (it has become the hip thing to do). As if that isn't enough, we found out via a new ABC poll of Senators that if all the Senators who voted to go to war with Iraq had a do-over, we would not be there today. Now we got McCain sounding like Bush's little Parrot:

Sen. John McCain (news, bio, voting record)'s call for a substantial and sustained influx of U.S. troops in Iraq sets the Republican apart from other White House candidates — and it could help him or haunt him come 2008.

The Arizona senator's hawkish position that the United States must do what is necessary to win the war might appeal to hard-core Republicans, but it also has the potential to turn off most Americans whose support for the nearly 4-year-old war has diminished.

"I have presidential ambitions, but they pale in comparison to what I think is most important to our nation's security. If it destroys any ambitions I may have, I'm willing to pay that price gladly," McCain said Friday, brushing aside scenarios of political fallout.

Blue Ohio News For Monday, August 7, 2006 (93 days to go)

Posted 8/8/06 at 1:14am by jamie

Today is the big day in Blue Ohio News, the day where we find out Bob Ney is out. The interesting part is that Ney is trying to pick his successor:

In a heavily Republican district, Ney reported last month that his own internal polls had him clinging to a 4-percentage point lead; Space said his internal polls showed him up by 11 percentage points. Ney hadn't gotten less than 60 percent of the vote since 1998.

Ney expects state Sen. Joy Padgett's name to surface as his successor in the fall race.

"She is a person of passion and conviction," Ney said. "I can think of no better person to represent this district."

Padgett is one who has been sticking up for Ney since his involvement with Abramoff came to the public light. The problem is that there will be another primary for Ney's spot and Padgett may not be able to run:

State Sen. Joy Padgett, Ney’s hand-picked successor for his seat, could fall under a little-known provision of Ohio election law, dubbed the “sore loser” provision. It prevents a candidate who loses in one primary from running in another during the same election cycle. Earlier this year, Padgett was the primary running mate of gubernatorial hopeful James Petro, who lost to the ticket of Ken Blackwell and his running mate, Ohio State Rep. Tom Raga.

Even if Padgett succeeds in getting her name on the new primary ballot, the controversy could invite other Republicans to jump into the unexpected race. James Harris, who lost to Ney in the Republican primary in May, said he’s considering running again — although the sore loser provision may apply to him, too.

Delay Ordered To Stay On The Ballot

Posted 7/6/06 at 4:57pm by jamie

The Texas Republicans just suffered a big defeat:

The Texas Republican Party must keep Tom DeLay's name on the November election ballot, even though the former congressman has dropped his re-election bid, a federal judge ruled Thursday.

DeLay, the former House majority leader who resigned from office June 9, won the Republican primary for his district in March but decided against re-election a month later.

GOP leaders want another Republican to replace DeLay on the ballot and say state election law allows them to select one because DeLay has moved out of Texas.

Lawyers for Texas Democrats argued that DeLay still owns a Houston-area home, where his wife Christine lives and where DeLay spends time. The Democrats also argued that it couldn't be shown conclusively whether DeLay would be an "inhabitant" of Texas on Election Day on Nov. 7.

Looks like the hammer is no longer swinging. This was one of Delay's last big swindles to pull over on democracy and apparently this judge viewed it the same way. Just wait until Ronnie Earl gets him before a judge and jury.

Republican Corruption On The Local Scale

Posted 5/1/06 at 7:42pm by jamie

Here is more dirty Republican tricks, this time happening one county over from me:

Some postcards are causing problems in Warren County. The cards endorse Pete Beck in the Republican primary for Warren County Commissioner. At the bottom of the cards is the signature of Lebanon?s mayor, Amy Brewer. But Brewer said she did not sign the cards, and two cards shown to News 5 had signatures that didn't even match each other, let alone the mayor's own signature.

"I did not authorize anyone to forge my signature," Brewer said.

Brewer said about 500 cards went out with her name on them, and that she's already heard from angry voters.

"I've called the mayor twice to apologize. It was an unfortunate mistake and never should have happened," Beck said.

Beck did not say how the mistake occurred.

Brewer said she is thinking about filing a complaint with the state over the cards.

The corrupt hand of the RNC reaches from Washington all the way down to the smallest counties in Midwest America. They will stop at nothing to try and get elected.

Delay Spending Election Night With Lobbyists

Posted 3/7/06 at 7:42pm by jamie

The AP does a nice job of reminding people why Tom Delay could be facing his hardest political battle yet:

WASHINGTON - Rep. Tom DeLay, whose association with lobbyist Jack Abramoff has left him politically vulnerable, is spending Texas' primary night Tuesday at a fundraiser hosted by two Washington lobbyists.

DeLay faces three opponents in the Republican primary. For the first time in the 22 years he's held office, he is up against a serious challenge after being forced out of his job as House majority leader amid corruption and campaign finance scandals.

The fundraiser is being held by lobbyists Bill Paxon and Susan Molinari, both former members of Congress from New York. The event will raise money for DeLay's re-election campaign

I am kind of torn on Delay's primary challenge today. He is expected to win and in a way I think that is a good thing.

Now before you think I have lost it let me explain in a little more detail. Delay winning today will put him up against a Democrat for the final battle to control the Texas district. With Tom Delay still facing trial on his charges and Texas and with indictments still possible from the Abramoff deal, chances are his political future is very dim.

If Delay is the one facing a Democrat in November and he either gets convicted by Ronnie Earle or gets indicted by the feds then his chances of winning become even less. As matter of fact if he gets convicted he will have to drop out of the race leaving the GOP scrambling to find a replacement.

So basically Delay is a heavy liability to the GOP in Texas right now and his win today will increase that liability ten-fold. Of course a defeat today would not be all that bad either, but that is not very likely considering Tom's district is built by his own definitions.

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