pundits

Paul Ryan For President?

Posted 8/17/11 at 2:54pm by jamie

This could prove to be some real entertainment:

As Wisconsin congressman Paul Ryan comes to a final decision about running for president, several top national conservatives are encouraging him to join the race. Ryan, who has been seriously but quietly considering a presidential bid for several months, is expected to decide on a run in the next two weeks

Indiana governor Mitch Daniels hopes he runs. “If there were a Paul Ryan fan club, I'd be a national officer,” Daniels said in a phone interview Wednesday morning.

One issue with Ryan is his age:

Daniels also dismisses concerns about Ryan’s age. “It didn’t stop the last guy,” he says, laughing. “This president would have a hard time arguing that Paul wouldn’t be a serious candidate.” When asked if that might be an object lesson, Daniels says no. “It’s a natural question but I think people would be reassured both by hearing him talk and by the people he’d put around him.”

Ryan is 9 years younger that Obama, which would make him 5 years younger at the time of a Presidential run. But I don't really view age as a big deal. The only ones who really seemed concerned about that was the Republicans in 2008, when they were talking about Obama. It does make for an interesting argument though - is a white man mature enough to run for office, when a black man, 5 years older, wasn't? 

But let's consider the real issues here, not the typical faux issues manufactured by politicians and pundits. 

The Front Runners

Posted 8/15/11 at 7:38pm by jamie

The big buzz today has been the change in the GOP Presidential field. Essentially we are now looking at three candidates. Here they are in this screenshot from the HuffPo:

So the three we have to watch out for are Romney, Perry and Bachmann. All three of them are scary and can pose a possible challenge to President Obama, but one really stands out. This is one that I have warned of before - Michele Bachmann (see here, here and here). Still, I hear countless on the left saying there is no way Bachmann will get the nomination, let alone win. I have to disagree with these people and our changing political landscape is all the evidence I need.

First off there were dozens of races last year the pundits and politicians thought a fringe candidate wouldn't win, yet we ended up with a lot of "Tea Party" candidates in Congress. This should have been a wake up call to people on the right and left, but it wasn't. Instead they still look at candidates like Bachmann and feel there is no way she can win.

So how can this all go against the left? Let's start with the primary. First off we have Rick Perry and Mitt Romney, both of which don't have the best records in terms of conservative values. Bachmann places a lot better and her lack of actual leadership can actually prove to be a plus against these two.

The People Still Blame The GOP In Congress

Posted 8/5/11 at 10:21am by jamie

A new poll by the New York Times finds very bad news for Congress:

A record 82 percent of Americans now disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job — the most since The Times first began asking the question in 1977, and even more than after another political stalemate led to a shutdown of the federal government in 1995.

More than four out of five people surveyed said that the recent debt-ceiling debate was more about gaining political advantage than about doing what is best for the country. Nearly three-quarters said that the debate had harmed the image of the United States in the world.

A poorly rated Congress was one of the key talking points of the 2010 mid-terms. Republican candidates and pundits constantly talked about the poor ratings of Congress and how they would work harder for the people and turn that around. Well guess what? We have another broken promise. While the public views both parties very unfavorably in the debt crisis, the GOP does get more of the blame:

Republicans in Congress shoulder more of the blame for the difficulties in reaching a debt-ceiling agreement than President Obama and the Democrats, the poll found.

The Republicans compromised too little, a majority of those polled said. All told, 72 percent disapproved of the way Republicans in Congress handled the negotiations, while 66 percent disapproved of the way Democrats in Congress handled negotiations.

But the biggest part of this poll gives bad news to the Tea Party:

Fox Lied About Their “Ratings Soar”

Posted 11/3/09 at 11:17am by jamie

During the entire White House/Fox News feud FOX decided to bolster about their “soaring ratings”. This meme was then picked up by a lot of talking heads in the mainstream media. Media Matters decided to go to the data and see exactly what “soar” meant to FOX:

No matter how many times reporters and pundits made the claim, a detailed analysis of Nielsen ratings numbers clearly indicates that in the two weeks after the White House in mid-October sparked a media controversy by claiming Rupert Murdoch's channel was not a legitimate news organization, Fox News' ratings did not soar or go "through the roof." In fact, not only did Fox News' overall ratings not soar, they experienced no significant increase at all. Instead, in the two weeks following the initial verbal jousts with the White House, Fox News' total day ratings virtually flatlined.

And since a picture is worth a thousand words (and something that most FOX viewers are only able to comprehend), here’s a nice graph:

whcritique-20091102 Soar or spiked seems like a very big over-exaggeration. I doubt you can even call that a bump. Instead FOX really gained nothing from the war.

It Was Only A Matter Of Time

Posted 8/15/09 at 10:46am by jamie

The U.K. is pissed. They are tired of U.S. lawmakers and pundits insulting them to gain political points in the health care battle, and now the U.K. is fighting back:

The fractious British political classes have united in defence of the UK’s healthcare system after it has become a byword for the failings of universal, state-funded provision among the US Republican right.

Gordon Brown, prime minister, and David Cameron, leader of the Conservative opposition party, on Friday both declared their commitment to the National Health Service.

What does it say about our political system when our lawmakers can go out and flat our slander our allies in order to gain political points?

I have been thinking about this a lot lately, and I think I have a solution. President Obama should have a prime time town hall meeting covered by all the networks. He should also have a guest with him. That guest should be Gordon Brown or another high ranking U.K. official to dispute all the lies put out by Republicans. Give them a chance to defend their system against our poisoned political dialect.

Now that would be must see T.V.

Democrats Still Haven’t Learned To Control The Message

Posted 2/26/09 at 12:26pm by jamie

It seems like I am just doing one really long post today, but broken up. I can’t help it, my mind is really going on this and I want to touch on something else from my on going posts about the RNC and Bobby Jindal.

I said in my previous post that Bobby Jindal shouldn’t be given all the blame for the Republican response, but the Republican’s should be given just as much, if not more. After all, Jindal was just the messenger boy for the Republican beliefs. Yet the media and Republicans have successfully painted Jindal as the fall guy on this. The left wing blogs and even talking heads have also followed suit. Well this is wrong.

When it comes to message control, the Republicans have constantly beat the Democrats hands down. It’s happening again. What the Democrats, politicians, pundits and blogs, all need to do is hammer the message home that what Bobby Jindal said wasn’t only what Bobby Jindal believes, but rather what the GOP believes.

Imagine for a minute that the Democrats picked Mike Gravel to give a response to one of Bush’s state of the union addresses. Would we be hearing and reading how “that Mike Gravel has some really wonky ideas”? No. Instead we would be hearing such things as “wow the Democrats have really became a fringe party”. This bias in media analysis has been proven time and time again. So we need our side of the blogosphere and aisle to start hammering that the message given Tuesday night wasn’t Bobby Jindal’s message, but rather the GOP’s message.

Remember – it was the Republican response, not Bobby Jindal’s response.

You Think Its A Joke But Its Not

Posted 11/1/08 at 4:52pm by jamie

And this is really her:

MONTREAL — A Quebec comedy duo notorious for prank calls to celebrities and heads of state has reached Sarah Palin, convincing the Republican vice-presidential nominee she was speaking with French President Nicolas Sarkozy. In the interview, which lasts about six minutes, Palin and the pranksters discuss politics, pundits, and the dangers of hunting with current vice-president Dick Cheney.

Classic!

Obama Surges, McCain Goes Negative

Posted 10/4/08 at 10:54am by jamie

Following up on my previous post of John McCain's temperament and admission to not being congenial, I would be wrong not to bring up the latest news from the McCain campaign. For the final month of this campaign season, McCain plans to go 100% negative against Obama.

At first read you might take that as bad news, but I beg to differ. I have heard tons of bloggers and pundits call for a much more aggressive Obama and Obama has ignored those calls. Instead we have seen Obama stay on his message of change and talk about his policy and that has resulted in Obama surging fast in the polls.

Yes the economy helped Obama some in the polls, but I don't think that accounts for the entire reason of his newly found success. Instead we saw a man who kept his cool at a time of crisis. While Obama was making his case, he maintained his composure. McCain played a very big political card. He took an unprecedented move of suspending a Presidential campaign, which resulted in an extra feel of panic in Washington all the way down to Main Street.

After eight years of having a President who couldn't keep his cool, we are looking to a future of a President who defines the word. This is the kind of President who can address a nation during an economic disaster and instill a level of comfort in the American people. George Bush doesn't have that temperament, but he looks like Mary Poppins compared to John McCain.

Unfit To Be President

Posted 10/4/08 at 10:20am by jamie

We have just endured eight years of "cowboy diplomacy" by George Bush. This has given us such zingers as "bring it on" and "we are going to conduct a crusade". Bush's mentality has further alienated this country from the rest of the world and extinguished our status as the shining city on the hill.

One thing you do have to admit though is that Bush can pull off these stunts and still maintain some appearance of likability. Disagree with him 100% on policy, but he is still the guy you would want to have a beer with.

Now enter John McCain. Josh reminded me this morning of a very testy exchange between Obama and McCain back in 2006. McCain was upset that Obama wouldn't support his plan for a bipartisan commission to come up with lobbying/ethics reform, instead choosing for such reform to go through normal committee. This led to McCain firing of a very nasty letter to Obama for not supporting him.

While refreshing my memory on this little exchange, I noticed something that sounds very familiar:

"That's why I am not going to win Miss Congeniality again this year in the Senate."

As you can guess, John McCain said that. It's something he repeats on the campaign trail still and even brought up in the first debate.

There are a couple of issues here that should be taken up by the media and pundits. First off is John McCain's admission that he isn't congenial. We need someone who can lead our country by understanding and working together, not someone who wants to strong arm any objections into submissions. No matter how you slice it, the Democrats will retain control of Congress this year and probably end up with a more solid majority. Having a President McCain, who admits to not being congenial, is a perfect recipe to have a Congress less effective as we do now.

Why Did Palin Do Better Than She Did With Couric?

Posted 10/3/08 at 9:33am by jamie

The answer is simple - no followups. This was something the McCain campaign pushed to get changed. Gwen Ifill was not allowed to ask any followups to any questions. This gave Palin an excuse to dodge questions, which she did really well. So while the pundits are trying to spin this as being some "great performance", it wasn't. It was like moving the outfield wall in by a couple hundred feet and then calling someone the home run king.

Why I Just Love Pundits

Posted 10/1/08 at 7:43pm by jamie

They are going crazy trying to spin away the mountain of new polls showing Obama breaking way out in the lead. Chuck Todd is a major player in this spin game. But it's funny when you think back a couple week ago when McCain had his post-convention bounce. Then all we heard was that Obama should be way out ahead with the change atmosphere. Like I have said in the past - Obama's dammed if he does, dammed if he doesn't.

GOP Pollster Frank Luntz Has A Focus Group On GOP Network FOX

Posted 9/27/08 at 11:52am by jamie

And this focus group of undecided voters, split evenly on which way they voted in 2004, overwhelmingly said Obama moved them the most last night:

This jives with all the polls that came out last night, showing Obama as the winner. The pundits are pretty much split on it, but their opinions don't really much matter since they are part of the barbecue media.

Another Angle To McCain's Ploy

Posted 9/25/08 at 10:11am by jamie

Cenk has come up with a real good reason that McCain wants the debate moved:

Then I realized why they didn't want to have this debate now. The first debate is on foreign policy. Conventional wisdom and the McCain camp believe this is their strong suit. But the news cycle is dominated right now by the economic problems, which plays to Obama's advantage. There was already news out that some of the questions would have to be about the economic situation at hand. And those are the questions that would naturally make the most news.

It's not that the McCain campaign doesn't want to have this debate; it's that they don't want to have it now. They think it is terrible timing for their side. They want people to focus on the foreign policy debate and this would be the worst possible time for that.

This makes perfect sense. McCain stood losing the one debate he was predicted to dominate. That prediction was by all pundits and even Democrats, but since the subject of the debate will most likely be changed or truncated, McCain has to rush to change the debate.

Everything in politics is calculated. I have spent enough time in politics to understand this. Before a decision is made, advisers get together and decide the pros and cons of any decision. To the McCain campaign, the pros outweighed the cons.

Let's look at some of those pros and cons real quick:

Bomb Bomb Bomb McCain

Posted 9/5/08 at 8:48am by jamie

It seems like the general consensus amongst the pundits regarding John's big moment is the same feeling I had watching it - yawn. He didn't lay out a single policy, and instead stayed on his "change" platform. Funny - it seems like every Republican has said that since I can remember.

As matter of fact I didn't hear any policy come out of this convention. Instead it was a bunch of promises, with no roads on how to complete them. Something else I noticed missing - immigration. I guess that problem has been solved, because the Republicans sure seem to be ignoring it now.

It was just another Republican convention. Palin was the big winner of it, but as the media reminded us so well when Biden was picked, you're not voting for the vice-President, you are voting for the President.

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