Those of us opposing this bill are in the solid majority:

Conducted by Research 2000 for the Progressive Change Campaign Committee (PCCC) and Democracy for America (DFA), the survey finds only 33 percent of likely voters favor a health care bill that does not include a public health insurance option and does not expand Medicare, but does require all Americans to get health insurance. Slightly more Democrats — 37 percent — favor the idea, while only 30 percent of Republicans and 31 percent of independents do.

But look at what happens when the Medicare buy-in or public option are added in:

Meanwhile, if the public option and Medicare buy-in are added, 58 percent of people support the idea. The number of Republican supporters drops to 22 percent, but independent support rises to 57 percent and Democratic support to a whopping 88 percent.

Democrats support jumps by over 2 times, and Independent support is close to the same. Removing Medicare expansion and the public option are deal killers.

Adding to that only 1/3 of voters support the mandate without a public option and 1/3 of Democrats are now less likely to vote in 2010.

How’s the for change?

Generally the “threat of not voting” numbers never really pan out. People will realize that the alternative is much worse than the current members, but given the fact we are seeing a foundation of the Democratic platform go up in flames by its own party, this could really end up happening. It will also be interesting to see how it translates into fundraising for Democrats.